S&P 500 Risk Metric
LockedOutliners Risk v2 applied to ^GSPC — 0 (extreme value) to 1 (extreme stretch).
Why upgrade
What's behind the gate
- 22+ charts across crypto, technical and macro
- Outliners Risk metric with full history overlays
- Screener + watchlists (coming next sprint)
- Bubbles view, Workbench, mobile app (roadmap)
- Outliners course + Discord community (bundled)
What this chart shows
Methodology
Outliners Risk v2 = 0.60 · Mayer Multiple (close / SMA200, normalised) + 0.40 · Log-Regression Deviation (linear-log fit over full history, ±0.7 anchors). Same metric as Bitcoin Risk but applied to S&P 500 daily closes from 1927-12-30 — R² of the long-run log-fit is 0.96.