S&P 500 Risk Metric

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Outliners Risk v2 applied to ^GSPC — 0 (extreme value) to 1 (extreme stretch).

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What this chart shows
Methodology

Outliners Risk v2 = 0.60 · Mayer Multiple (close / SMA200, normalised) + 0.40 · Log-Regression Deviation (linear-log fit over full history, ±0.7 anchors). Same metric as Bitcoin Risk but applied to S&P 500 daily closes from 1927-12-30 — R² of the long-run log-fit is 0.96.