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S&P 500 vs. Yield Curve (10y − 2y)

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Equities on the left axis, the recession-watch spread on the right.

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What this chart shows
Methodology

S&P 500 daily close (left axis, log) against the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread (FRED T10Y2Y, right axis, linear, % points). Both series share the same daily x-axis since 1976.